Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
CLY
14%
17%
69%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 1
FAL
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUM
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 0
KIL
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 4
HIB
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
21%
24%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |