Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 2
QOS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 1
HIB
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
DUM
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CLY
1 - 2
AYR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 1
CLY
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HIB
1 - 1
AYR
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 4
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 2
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |