Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 2
RAI
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 4
DUM
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STR
0 - 3
DUM
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AIR
2 - 2
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DUM
1 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
ARB
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
3 - 2
AIR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 1
ARB
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARB
0 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |