Dumbarton vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
36
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STR
0 - 2
DUM
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
STE
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
ELG
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUM
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STI
3 - 2
ALB
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 2
BLA
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
ELG
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
EAS
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |