Dumbarton vs Albion Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
36
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STI
6 - 0
DUM
43%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUM
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
DUM
25%
23%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
29%
24%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 0
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 2
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STI
1 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |