Duluth vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 3
DUL
28%
21%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 4
DAK
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 1
LOU
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
LAG
6 - 3
LOU
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SPK
1 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OKC
0 - 1
LOU
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |