Dulliken vs Lenzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dulliken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DUL
1 - 1
DIE
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ILI
1 - 4
DUL
18%
19%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DUL
0 - 2
AAR
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 2
DUL
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DUL
0 - 2
HON
39%
24%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
ILI
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AAR
3 - 1
LEN
78%
12%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
SCH
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HON
1 - 0
LEN
71%
15%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
OLT
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |