Dulliken vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dulliken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
DUL
1 - 1
LAU
52%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MUT
0 - 0
DUL
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LIE
4 - 1
DUL
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KOS
4 - 3
DUL
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DUL
4 - 2
KRU
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCO
2 - 1
DOR
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 3
DIE
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
FCO
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
SEE
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UZU
5 - 0
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |