Europa League 1/32
Global 0-5
Dukla vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dukla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DUK
3 - 0
SOB
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUK
4 - 2
TNV
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
PET
2 - 1
DUK
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
DUK
1 - 1
ZIL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 4
DUK
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BMA
2 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
58%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
AND
3 - 0
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
AND
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |