Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
FK Dukla Praha vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1967 |
DUK
0 - 0
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
DUK
2 - 1
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 1
DUK
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1966 |
AND
1 - 2
DUK
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
FCR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
MAR
2 - 3
ASS
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAR
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 1
GIR
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |