FK Dukla Praha vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
15º
14º
11
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 65 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 63 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 55 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 42 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 41 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 36 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4% | 30% |
|
Next round
|
17% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
79% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUK
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUK
1 - 0
BOH
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUK
1 - 3
VKP
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 2
DUK
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 3
DUK
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 0
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
JAB
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JAB
2 - 0
MBO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JAB
4 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
JAB
7 - 0
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |