Champions League 1/16
Global 6-5
FK Dukla Praha vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CSK
4 - 4
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1958 |
DUK
1 - 0
WIE
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1958 |
WIE
3 - 1
DUK
78%
12%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1958 |
DUK
2 - 1
DZG
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
DZG
2 - 2
DUK
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CSK
4 - 4
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CSK
1 - 1
MAL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1960 |
MAL
1 - 0
CSK
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 1
JUV
21%
21%
59%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 0
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |