Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
FK Dukla Praha vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 0
HOM
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUK
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 1
DYN
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
DYN
3 - 0
DUK
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
DUK
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
RTV
2 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
4 - 1
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LEV
3 - 0
KAL
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
MON
2 - 1
LEV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |