Duisburger vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duisburger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
DUI
3 - 0
VIK
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
DUI
1 - 1
LSV
78%
13%
9%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
HAM
1 - 1
DUI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
ALT
2 - 1
DUI
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
DUI
1 - 0
EID
77%
14%
10%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
HAM
1 - 1
SWE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
SWE
2 - 0
WUP
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1966 |
PRE
2 - 1
SWE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SWE
2 - 1
WHE
65%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VIK
0 - 3
SWE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |