Due Torri vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAA
3 - 0
DTO
50%
27%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
GEL
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
DTO
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
DTO
59%
24%
18%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
DTO
0 - 0
AGR
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
REG
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AGR
3 - 0
SAR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |