Fortuna 05 vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
EIS
1 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 5
RIT
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
8 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 1
KRE
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
VIE
0 - 0
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
VIE
1 - 0
FCW
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
VIE
1 - 0
EIS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
VIE
3 - 1
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
VIE
0 - 1
KRE
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |