Fortuna 05 vs PSV Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ADM
2 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 3
PAR
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FCW
0 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
VIE
4 - 1
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 5
EIS
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
PSV Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
TFW
1 - 1
VIE
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
EIS
4 - 2
TFW
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TFW
1 - 0
RIT
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AUS
3 - 1
TFW
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
TFW
3 - 4
SCH
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |