Fortuna 05 vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
FAV
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TEA
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 4
DON
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GER
3 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
STA
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
NAC
18%
22%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIE
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAV
2 - 3
NAC
33%
24%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |