Druzhba Maykop vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
15º
10º
20
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 3
DMA
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 3
NCH
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
DMA
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 0
NAL
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BIO
0 - 2
DMA
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 5
NCH
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
8 - 0
ALA
79%
16%
6%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
NAL
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
BIO
15%
19%
65%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKC
20%
22%
59%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |