Drogheda United vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
SLR
3 - 1
DRO
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
DRO
1 - 2
STP
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CAO
0 - 0
DRO
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
DRO
4 - 0
GAL
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SHR
2 - 0
DRO
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCD
2 - 3
WAT
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 5
UCD
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
UCD
2 - 1
LON
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UCD
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
UCD
2 - 0
WEX
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |