Drogheda United vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
7º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 0
DRO
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHR
5 - 0
DRO
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
DER
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
DRO
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
STP
1 - 2
DRO
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 2
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
SHE
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
DUN
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 0
SHE
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |