Drogheda United vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
DRO
3 - 0
WAT
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CAO
0 - 0
DRO
41%
30%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
DRO
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
DRO
1 - 0
BOH
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
UCD
0 - 1
DRO
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
DRO
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 2
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
32%
23%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
4 - 1
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
CAI
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |