Drogheda United vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
10º
9º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
DRO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
0 - 1
SHR
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
DRO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DRO
3 - 2
WEX
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DER
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
SHR
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
BOH
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 1
DUN
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |