Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
7º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
DRO
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
STP
1 - 2
DRO
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
BOH
24%
27%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 3
BOH
27%
25%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 0
UCD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DER
6 - 0
UCD
77%
17%
7%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
SHR
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 5
DER
9%
21%
70%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |