Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BRW
1 - 3
DRO
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DRO
3 - 2
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 0
WEX
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAO
3 - 2
DRO
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
DRO
0 - 2
SHR
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
STP
3 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BRW
0 - 0
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |