Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
BOH
1 - 0
DRO
75%
18%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
DRO
0 - 1
UCD
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
DRO
3 - 3
GAL
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
SHR
2 - 0
DRO
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BRW
1 - 1
DRO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
SLR
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 5
DER
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |