Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
33.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DRO
2 - 2
SLR
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
STP
1 - 0
DRO
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
DRO
0 - 1
CAO
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 2
DRO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
DRO
0 - 1
SHR
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
DER
1 - 3
GAL
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
BRW
0 - 1
DER
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
STP
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SLR
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |