Drochtersen / Assel vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
13º
6º
11
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drochtersen / Assel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 1
DRO
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
LUB
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
JED
1 - 2
DRO
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
0 - 0
DRO
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 0
DRO
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 2
WEI
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 1
EIN
46%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
EIN
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
TOD
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WER
1 - 1
EIN
70%
17%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |