Dro Calcio vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
DCA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
DCA
2 - 2
PER
24%
26%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DAR
4 - 0
DCA
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
DCA
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
PRO
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 2
PSM
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
CIS
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
VIR
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
VBE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |