Dro Calcio vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ABA
1 - 0
DCA
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DCA
5 - 2
FMO
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VNZ
2 - 0
DCA
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
DCA
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
DCA
1 - 0
VIR
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GIO
0 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAC
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 4
URF
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |