Dro Calcio vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
DCA
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
DCA
81%
14%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 3
VIR
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
DCA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
PSM
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
VBE
50%
23%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PON
4 - 1
PSM
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
GRU
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |