Dro Calcio vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BUS
0 - 2
DCA
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
DCA
2 - 0
SCA
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
DCA
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
DCA
1 - 1
ACL
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
DCA
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
GRU
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
PER
7%
15%
78%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
REZ
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |