Dro Calcio vs Mori Santo Stefano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
DCA
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DCA
1 - 3
UPR
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
DCA
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DCA
1 - 1
URF
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DCA
3 - 1
ACD
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Mori Santo Stefano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MSS
3 - 3
GIO
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BSP
2 - 1
MSS
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MSS
0 - 0
UAR
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
MSS
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |