Dro Calcio vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
DCA
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DCA
0 - 3
LEV
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
DCA
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 0
CNO
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
DCA
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 3
VIR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 5
MES
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MES
7 - 2
SAC
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
URF
1 - 1
MES
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MES
5 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |