Dresden-Nord vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 1
DRE
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 2
SVG
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAG
2 - 1
DRE
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
3 - 1
AUE
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 2
DRE
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SVD
0 - 0
ERF
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
SVD
1 - 4
CZJ
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 0
SVD
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POS
1 - 0
SVD
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SVD
4 - 0
OBE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |