Dresden-Nord vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAG
2 - 1
DRE
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
3 - 1
AUE
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ZWI
2 - 2
DRE
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 3
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 0
SAC
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
3 - 0
SVG
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SVG
0 - 2
CZJ
15%
21%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
POS
3 - 3
SVG
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SVG
1 - 3
OBE
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
SON
0 - 2
SVG
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |