Dresden-Nord vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SON
1 - 1
DRE
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 0
GER
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 2
ENE
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 3
DRE
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 2
DRE
26%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
LOK
0 - 2
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAL
0 - 1
LOK
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LOK
3 - 1
SVG
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
DRE
0 - 0
LOK
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
CZJ
4 - 0
LOK
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |