Dresden-Nord vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
2 - 2
HAL
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
1 - 1
DRE
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
DRE
1 - 3
CZJ
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MEU
0 - 4
DRE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 1
SVD
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 0
ERF
71%
20%
10%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 0
DRE
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CZJ
5 - 0
ERF
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 1
POS
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
PLA
3 - 0
ERF
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |