Dresden-Nord vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MEU
2 - 2
DRE
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
DRE
2 - 1
SAC
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
DRE
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DRE
2 - 0
ZWI
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 2
DRE
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AUE
0 - 1
BUD
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
AUE
4 - 1
EIL
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MEU
0 - 0
AUE
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
AUE
5 - 1
SAC
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUE
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |