Dresden-Laubegast vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Laubegast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DRE
2 - 2
OBE
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
DRE
0 - 1
PLA
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
DRE
2 - 2
MEU
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 0
DRE
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
HAL
3 - 1
DRE
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 0
CZJ
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
CZJ
3 - 0
POS
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CZJ
6 - 0
SON
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MEU
1 - 1
CZJ
20%
21%
59%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |