Dresden-Laubegast vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dresden-Laubegast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
DRE
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
AUE
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
POS
0 - 2
DRE
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
ZWI
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CZJ
4 - 1
DRE
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 2
MAG
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
OBE
1 - 2
ERF
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
4 - 1
FAD
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
DRE
4 - 2
ERF
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 3
PLA
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |