Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Dreams FC vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dreams FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
DRE
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MED
0 - 0
DRE
33%
30%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 0
DRE
20%
24%
57%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DRE
2 - 2
SFC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DRE
2 - 2
HEA
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
DRE
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DJO
2 - 1
STA
41%
29%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RSB
3 - 0
STA
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
DIA
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |