Dravograd vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NKD
3 - 1
DRA
50%
23%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
DRA
1 - 0
NKO
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LJU
2 - 1
DRA
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
DRA
0 - 2
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SMA
2 - 0
DRA
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 2
LJU
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 1
SMA
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 1
NKD
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 3
DRA
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |