Drautal vs Hermagor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drautal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 2
DRA
50%
22%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 1
RUD
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FLC
0 - 2
DRA
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 0
MSA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
3 - 1
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 1
RAP
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EAC
0 - 0
FCH
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FEL
1 - 0
FCH
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
0 - 1
LEN
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |