Drautal vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drautal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
3 - 1
DRA
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 1
DRA
49%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
TRE
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 1
DRA
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 1
KMD
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BLE
1 - 3
VEI
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 1
BLE
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BLE
0 - 0
LEN
24%
24%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MSA
1 - 1
BLE
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BLE
1 - 3
WAC
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |