Union Sportive Fougères vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
11º
32
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
USF
80%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
USF
3 - 3
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 1
USF
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
USF
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USF
2 - 1
SPM
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 0
SPM
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LAT
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
LOC
63%
19%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
VIT
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 0
VAN
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -2 |