Union Sportive Fougères vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
USF
0 - 1
AVR
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 0
USF
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
USF
3 - 2
DOL
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
USF
2 - 2
LMU
8%
17%
74%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CES
2 - 3
USF
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ERG
1 - 2
PLA
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 2
DOL
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 3
PLA
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 0
CHO
10%
18%
72%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |