Union Sportive Fougères vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
13º
11º
2
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
USF
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
USF
0 - 7
LHA
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
DIN
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |