Union Sportive Fougères vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
11º
37
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
USF
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
USF
1 - 3
LAT
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOC
3 - 2
USF
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 4
USF
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
PON
45%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
PLA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPM
4 - 0
LAN
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
CPB
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
LAN
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |