Union Sportive Fougères vs La Tour d'Auvergne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
11º
48
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOC
3 - 2
USF
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 4
USF
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
PON
45%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
USF
1 - 4
PLA
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
USF
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPM
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
LAN
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
LAT
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 4
VIT
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 4
LAT
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +2 |